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A barrage of critical television advertisements containing information that state statistics show is false has apparently led to a dramatic increase in opposition to a November ballot proposal to expand the state bottle law.
Since opponents began blanketing the airwaves — two spots that contain the inaccurate statistics have aired more than 500 times in recent weeks in the Boston and Springfield areas — support for expanding the bottle law has dwindled to just 33 percent, while 60 percent said they would vote against it, a new Boston Globe poll shows.
That finding is a near-reversal of a Globe poll in August that found 62 percent of likely voters supported expansion of the landmark environmental law. Then the ads opposing Question 2 began to run, fueled by nearly $8 million in contributions from the American Beverage Association and large supermarket chains.
If it passes, the bottle law initiative will extend the state’s current nickel deposit to bottled water, sports drinks, and other noncarbonated beverages. Designed to encourage recycling and reduce litter, the 32-year-old law currently requires a nickel deposit on soda, beer, and malt beverage containers.
“Whatever you think about the policy, the moves by the no side of Question 2 are masterful,” said John Della Volpe, chief executive of SocialSphere Inc. in Cambridge, which conducted the poll.
The opponents’ ads say that 90 percent of state residents have curbside recycling, which they use to suggest that the bottle redemption law is no longer needed.
One ad features Peggy Ayres, a former chairwoman of the Marlborough Recycling Committee, who says, “Thirty years ago, the redemption deposit was a good idea. But now with curbside recycling, it’s an idea whose time has come and passed. Ninety percent of Massachusetts residents have curbside recycling right in their communities.”
The state Department of Environmental Protection, however, says only 47 percent of Massachusetts cities and towns offer curbside recycling, reaching 64 percent of the population.
“We’ve been monitoring and tracking recycling in cities and towns, and we have the right numbers,” said David Cash, commissioner of the Department of Environmental Protection.
Generally, curbside recycling takes most bottles. But if people want to redeem their nickel deposits, they have to return their bottles to a supermarket or a redemption center.
Cash said his agency has determined that nondeposit bottles outnumber deposit bottles by three to one in the litter found in public parks, even though they make up only 40 percent of the market. He also noted that the bottle law, unlike curbside recycling, encourages recycling of bottles people take with them when they leave home.
“Historically, the bottle bill has worked at pulling bottles that have deposits on them out of litter in public places,” he said.
After some TV stations prodded the bottle law opponents to back up their claims, the No on Question 2 campaign added a footnote to the ad with Ayres. The text, which appears for a few seconds in small print and cites the state’s Executive Office of Energy and Environmental Affairs, says, “More than 90 percent of Massachusetts residents have access to community recycling programs.”
“We’re adding a citation to further substantiate our point,” said Nicole Giambusso, a spokeswoman for the No on Question 2 campaign.
Supporters of expanding the law point out that the footnote still uses the statistic refuted by the Environmental Protection Department, which reports to the Executive Office of Energy and Environmental Affairs. The supporters say the 90 percent figure conflates curbside recycling — in which a municipality picks up bottles at people’s homes — with other recycling programs in the community.
“They haven’t changed their ad,” said Janet Domenitz, executive director of the Massachusetts Public Interest Research Group, which is helping lead the Yes on Question 2 campaign. “The narrator is still saying the same exact words. They’re not telling the truth. They can’t win on the facts, so they’re telling mistruths.”
Domenitz raised other concerns about the ads.
She noted that a narrator in one says “politicians get to keep” all the nickels that pile up if consumers don’t redeem their deposits. That money now goes to the state’s general fund, but if the question passes, it will be designated for environmental programs.
In the ads, opponents argue that passing Question 2 would lead to higher prices on juice, water, soda, and other beverages. However, a 2011 study of bottle laws in New England by the state Environmental Protection Department cast doubt on those assertions. The report, which compared sales in supermarkets in Massachusetts, Maine, and New Hampshire, found that beverages frequently cost more in New Hampshire, which does not have a bottle redemption law. It said supermarkets with regional operations have “remarkably consistent beverage pricing for both deposit and nondeposit beverages across states.’’
“There appears to be no evidence to support claims that updating the Massachusetts [bottle law] will result in increased costs or reduced consumer choices,’’ the authors wrote in the report.
Supporters of Question 2 also object to a claim in the ads that every five years the state will “automatically increase the deposit.” However, the language in the proposed law says “the secretary of [the Executive Office of Energy and Environmental Affairs] would review the fee amounts every five years and make appropriate adjustments to reflect changes in the consumer price index as well as changes in the costs incurred by redemption centers.”
Giambusso, the No on Question 2 spokeswoman, defended the ads, saying politicians could change the law to keep the money in the general fund.
She added that consumer prices rarely drop — meaning that the deposit is likely to rise over time (although it has remained a nickel since it took effect in 1982) — and that supermarkets would incur additional expenses for the thousands of additional bottles that would ultimately be redeemed, costs she said they would pass on to consumers.
“Grocers will need to invest in additional space and means of redeeming containers,” Giambusso said. “These costs will make groceries more expensive.”
The Yes on 2 campaign acknowledged that its complaints are unlikely to spark any official action for weeks, and probably not until after the election.
Officials from Coakley’s office declined to comment on the merits of the complaint. “We’ve received the letter and are currently reviewing it,” said Christopher Loh, a spokesman for the attorney general’s office.
Many of the TV stations that run the ads, which have been a lucrative source of income, did not return calls for comment.
Bill Fine, president and general manager of WCVB-TV, said his station would continue to air the spots. He described the ads as “what has come to pass for customary political discourse.”
“As often happens in these matters, the opposite sides of an issue use data sets that back their point of view,” he said. “The data is often subject to analysis and ultimately we cannot be the final arbiter of whose interpretation is the correct one. We leave that to the voters.”
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